Before electricity was the steam engine. It was located in a separate floor/building but with a central shaft transferring energy required for work. All the work had to be concentrated around this line. Initially with electricity, people changed the source from steam to electricity but kept the same
Maybe let the tech speak for itself instead of forcing all this slop down our throats. The harder people shout “THIS IS THE NEXT BIG THING!” the more I don’t believe it. All of these comparisons to old tech that became big, but don’t look at the thousands of ideas that never became big. Just because some tech got big, does not mean any tech will be big and the odds are very much against any single tech becoming big.
And these comparisons to the dotcom bubble, sure it was all a bubble, but the tech was valid! That’s true, but we didn’t know that at the time. And the bubble popping still sucked, the economy was bad, people lost their jobs, regular folk were suffering for VC going ham on some new tech. And it also turns cause and effect on its head. It wasn’t like the dotcom tech needed the bubble to become successful or that tech can’t become successful without a bubble. Just because AI is now in a big bubble doesn’t mean anything useful will come out the other end.
Personally I think the future of AI is more in small dedicated expert systems, that do select specific roles and do them well. Not these know all, do all, everything chat based LLM systems they are pushing now. And I believe we will have specific chips that run these systems in an efficient local way, not the subscription based future tech is pushing now. I also believe there is a hard ceiling to this tech, where it can be pushed so far and not further and I feel we are close to that ceiling now. Going beyond requires exponential more time and effort to setup and run and in the end there just isn’t a use-case available where it’s cost effective to do so.
But hey, I’m just an idiot on the internet, what do I know.
Suuuuure, sloperators are going to be big.
Maybe let the tech speak for itself instead of forcing all this slop down our throats. The harder people shout “THIS IS THE NEXT BIG THING!” the more I don’t believe it. All of these comparisons to old tech that became big, but don’t look at the thousands of ideas that never became big. Just because some tech got big, does not mean any tech will be big and the odds are very much against any single tech becoming big.
And these comparisons to the dotcom bubble, sure it was all a bubble, but the tech was valid! That’s true, but we didn’t know that at the time. And the bubble popping still sucked, the economy was bad, people lost their jobs, regular folk were suffering for VC going ham on some new tech. And it also turns cause and effect on its head. It wasn’t like the dotcom tech needed the bubble to become successful or that tech can’t become successful without a bubble. Just because AI is now in a big bubble doesn’t mean anything useful will come out the other end.
Personally I think the future of AI is more in small dedicated expert systems, that do select specific roles and do them well. Not these know all, do all, everything chat based LLM systems they are pushing now. And I believe we will have specific chips that run these systems in an efficient local way, not the subscription based future tech is pushing now. I also believe there is a hard ceiling to this tech, where it can be pushed so far and not further and I feel we are close to that ceiling now. Going beyond requires exponential more time and effort to setup and run and in the end there just isn’t a use-case available where it’s cost effective to do so.
But hey, I’m just an idiot on the internet, what do I know.