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Cake day: June 30th, 2023

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  • It would have to be a pretty novel (and likely much more complex, less reliable, more costly, etc.) design to attach to a thing that has multiple degrees of freedom as opposed to an immobile window sill with a built in clamping mechanism. Also worth noting that window-mounted a units often introduce some gaps in the insulation that the window would otherwise provide. In America, no biggie on that, we build with double pane windows primarily and many existing buildings even still have single pane windows. The net loss of insulation (if it is even a loss) is easy to justify/mitigate with some cheap treatments like foam inserts. For European triple pane windows, the loss of insulation is still not a huge deal (especially if you account for luften), but it is yet another factor that discourages market penetration of a hypothetical window mounting solution. Window units have been around for decades because they are successful at taking advantage of the nature of American windows. Because European windows and building construction have a fundamentally different nature, it’s not surprising that this approach has not penetrated that market. It’s not as simple as capitalizing on the original idea, it would essentially be coming up with an entirely novel idea that may or (more likely) may not be viable




  • I don’t think I am describing any hypothetical voter switching? I’m defending the value of the poll as data, and describing how the poll’s data could be extrapolated into a projection of positive or negative vibes for a desired result by comparing outcomes against naive assumptions on how undecided voters might distribute their votes. Maybe you are talking about that? I don’t consider an undecided voter deciding how they will use their vote “switching” on an issue, and I tried to make it clear that I’m not saying anybody should count on any percentage of the undecided vote, just that you’d rather be in a position where you need fewer undecided voters to reach 50% vs more. I actually left out the nuance where opinions can change over the course of a campaign, causing voters to either switch or opt against voting, that does add uncertainty to an already uncertain process. Which is my point; your language is accusing “neoliberals” of “counting on votes”, and I’m just arguing that this poll doesn’t need to count on any votes to communicate a positive, if uncertain, picture of the potential future. Your comment feels like it would be more relevant on an opinion piece about this poll that says that this election is in the bag (kind of like how your original comment implied that this poll meant the election was in the bag as a no, as I read it), which is why I am confused. I’ll admit, I can’t read Icelandic, so I haven’t read the article attached to this headline, which is maybe where I am missing context, I’m just reading the headline and a translated excerpt from the comments, so maybe there is an argument being made elsewhere in the article that I’m unaware of. I’m sorry if my tone was accusatory, I’m trying to express my confusion as to why your reaction to my comment was to talk about neoliberals counting votes, which seemed tangential to the comment I made


  • Yes. But… This poll doesn’t do that. The headline calls out 44% as the top line number, which includes 0 undecided. The tone of the headline as positive news for those in favor of EU membership is based on an implicit assertion that only 30% of undecideds would be needed to clear the 50% mark, which is a pretty good margin of error on the 50/50 division that you might naively assign to a population you have no other data on, especially before you take into a count those who may opt not to vote. It’s also notable as an opinion poll for politicians actions outside of a direct referendum (not every issue will swing every vote, so knowing that this issue has more potential to swing votes towards vs. against you might encourage actions and rhetoric supporting a closer relationship with the EU. Finally, it’s relevant as a comparison point to prior polls on this issue (in 2017, for example, a quick Google search suggests that the average was more like -20 margin opposed to EU membership, so the transition to +8 in favor is significant). It feels like you are arguing a straw man here, but maybe I am the one missing context.







  • Not by distance. But imagine doing it on a 0.5 meter strip of poorly maintained concrete slabs, with the occasional light post sticking up and forcing you into an even narrower space or onto the uncut grass. Now imagine that strip is surrounded by nothing interesting to look at, and just a couple meters away, there is a constant stream of large trucks going 100-120 km/h beside you. And every time you hit an intersection, you’re going to have to prepare to cross 6-8 lanes of that stream as drivers who don’t expect you to be there have their eyes glued to the green light they have as they turn into the crosswalk that the signal is telling you is safe to cross. Now you arrive at the parking lot and the last 200m don’t even have a sidewalk, you are just walking in the road through the parking lot as you pass empty spot after empty spot because an engineer in the 60s pulled the wrong number out of his ass when guessing how many spots grocery stores should be legally reguired to build. Oh, and the grocery store is structured for people who are buying in bulk, not for someone who just wants to grab a couple days of food that they can carry while they are walking. Yeah, it’s no less physically possible than the 800m stroll you were envisioning, but it becomes pretty clear pretty quick that nobody in charge wants you to do what you are doing in that environment.


  • I’m not a lawyer, but it strikes me that this could be exactly what is happening. The ambulance company’s insurance wouldn’t pay the hospital directly, they aren’t health insurance. So instead, the cyclist’s health insurance footed the initial bill. Then they went after the cyclist for his deductible/copay/whatnot. Now he has to get the money from the ambulance company. If this was vehicle on vehicle violence, he would have gone to his auto insurance, who would have in turn went after the ambulance company’s insurance, but he might not have auto insurance or auto insurance might not be willing to get involved because he wasn’t driving. So he has to go direct to the company. Wouldn’t be shocking if the company pushed off any non-legal petitions from him because he doesn’t have the name weight of an insurance company with lawyers on retainer, so now he is seeking a legal remedy. Insurance doesn’t just work always, there is often a degree of negotiating and litigation involved in these exchanges, especially if one party disagrees with another on matters of liability





  • This passive language bullshit is so obvious sometimes. “Oh, I wonder what the cyclist did to get run over? And that poor SUV driver getting charged for murder because of this event, Paris is really going off the deep end finding ways to attack innocent drivers.” And yet, per the article, the SUV driver ran down the cyclist in a fit of road rage. That sounds an awful lot like an active choice by the driver, not some passive circumstance that the headline implies. If this person got angry and attacked someone with a knife, and the victim died, the headline wouldn’t be “Knife owner charged with murder after person stabbed”. But use the “right” weapon and all of a sudden we put the kiddie gloves on